The Algorithm Since 2007
The Numbers
Everyone Else Uses
Are Lying to You
Fantasy Points Per Game and Fantasy Points Against don't adjust for opponent strength. FantasyoMatic does. That single insight has made us up to 46% more accurate than traditional metrics over 13+ NFL seasons.
Raw stats hide the truth
An industry expert recently put it perfectly:
“Pittsburgh's pass defense is bottom five in net yards per attempt, but they've faced the murderer's row of Justin Fields, Sam Darnold, and Drake Maye.”
Pittsburgh looks terrible on paper. But they faced weak QBs. New England's defense looks even worse—yet they faced Geno Smith, Tua, and Aaron Rodgers, and still held Rodgers to 139 yards on 23 attempts. The raw numbers tell opposite stories from reality.
What Sigmund does manually in a tweet, FantasyoMatic's algorithm does systematically—for every defense, every player, every week, automatically.
San Diego 2013
New Orleans 2014
Matthew Stafford 2013
Tony Romo 2013
Three ratings. One truth.
FantasyoMatic decomposes every fantasy performance into its component parts, adjusted for opponent strength.
Player Rating
What a player would score against a neutral defense. Talent isolated from circumstance.
Defense Rating
How tough a defense actually is, adjusted for the quality of players they've faced.
Matchup Rating
Player meets Defense. Positive = favorable. Negative = danger. Your weekly edge.
One scale. Every position.
Most sites rank players within their position. We rate them on a single 0–100 scale that works across positions.
A QB rated 92 and a WR rated 88 are directly comparable. This makes trade analysis, flex decisions, and draft strategy quantitative instead of subjective.
“All you have to do is pick the higher rating. That's it. The math is no more difficult than comparing prices at the supermarket.”
Results speak louder than claims
FantasyoMatic has been independently measured against every major platform since 2012.
Algorithm Created
First platform to bring machine learning to fantasy football.
3 of 4 Super Bowl Winners Predicted
The predictive game model outperformed many big data companies right out of the gate.
12th Most Accurate in the Industry
First accuracy contest entry — beat ESPN.com, NFL.com, and CBS.com.
NFL.com 'Number Crunch' Column
Weekly guest contributor to NFL.com/Fantasy, bringing algorithmic analysis to the mainstream.
FantasyPros Top 10 & Most Accurate Expert
Recognized among the most accurate sources in the industry.
FantasyPros Top 5 Most Accurate
Peak accuracy ranking — top 5 among all fantasy football sites.
Most Accurate Expert (Again)
Second FantasyPros Most Accurate Expert recognition.
First Fantasy Sports ChatGPT Plugin
Pioneered conversational AI access to real-time algorithmic fantasy data.
Academic Validation
Co-presented 'AI Interactions with Sports Data' at the Midwest Sports Analytics Meeting with Dr. Michael Schuckers.
Algorithm vs. opinions
Every major platform relies on human expert panels, star systems, or consensus aggregation. FantasyoMatic is pure machine learning.
Expert human opinions and editorial panels
100% machine learning, no human bias
Aggregates consensus from 100+ experts
Single algorithm, independently ranked among those experts
Position-only rankings (QB #5, WR #8)
Cross-position 0–100 scale for true comparisons
Fantasy Points Against (raw, unadjusted)
Opponent-strength adjusted defense ratings
Trusted by the industry
“We are a small team but making a big impact on the industry.”
Built in Green Bay by a football obsessive who found a flaw in the math everyone else was using. Powered by machine learning since 2007. Now enhanced with AI that speaks the language of the algorithm fluently.
See the ratingsMore accurate than FPPG
NFL seasons of data
FantasyPros accuracy
ML in fantasy football